Climate forecasters say ME likely to have above-average temps this winter

Climate forecasters say ME likely to have above-average temps this winter

Climate forecasters say ME likely to have above-average temps this winter

While this upcoming winter isn't expected to be exactly the same as four years ago, this most recent forecast from the Climate Prediction Center certainly gives us a better idea, as well as extra time to prepare for what is likely to come between the months of December and February. However, Halper said, it's not expected to be quite as strong as the El Nino that helped lead to the record warm 2015-2016 winter season.

There's a lot more than just an El Nino pattern that determines how winter will play out.

"From about, maybe NY and northward, that's all above a 40 percent confidence, so that's between a 40 and 50 percent chance that temperatures will be above average", says Mike Halpert, deputy director of the Climate Prediction Center at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in Maryland.

The Southeast, Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic can go any which way.

"Even during a warmer-than-average winter, periods of cold temperatures and snowfall are still likely to occur", the agency stated in its outlook. Snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance.

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports
Climate forecasters say Maine likely to have above-average temps this winter

-No part of the favored to have below-average temperatures. On Thursday, NOAA released their annual 2018-19 Winter Outlook. The chances are highest in southeastern Georgia and much of northern and central Florida.

El Niño winters typically divide the country into two halves: north and south. Even so, the NOAA forecast indicates "equal chances" of above-, normal or below-normal temperatures in this zone.

But they are expected to get better in Arizona and New Mexico, southern parts of Utah and Colorado, the coastal Pacific Northwest and the Central Plains, NOAA said. Portions of the Northern Rockies and the Northern Plains are also likely to experience drier-than-average conditions.

The winter forecast hinges largely on the 75% chance that an El Niño event - characterized by warming waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean - develops in the coming months and lasts through the season, which for meteorologists begins December 1, according to NOAA.

If the snowfall earlier this week reminded you how much you don't like the winter cold, you may be in luck.

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